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中国的巨灾风险与巨灾防范
引用本文:张业成,马宗晋,高庆华,张立海,刘凤民.中国的巨灾风险与巨灾防范[J].地质力学学报,2006,12(2):119-126.
作者姓名:张业成  马宗晋  高庆华  张立海  刘凤民
作者单位:1. 国土资源部实物地质资料中心, 河北燕郊 065201;
摘    要:巨灾是指对人民生命财产造成特别巨大损失,对社会经济发展产生严重影响的自然灾害事件。我国巨灾主要为特大洪水、大地震以及特大风暴潮、持续性大面积干旱。新中国建立以来,共有18个年份发生巨灾。巨灾频发的根本原因是,自然条件复杂多变,多种异常动力活动强烈;减灾基础薄弱,巨灾防范能力不足。未来时期,巨灾对国家安全和社会经济威胁依然严重,预测有11个高风险区,分布在东部沿海和部分中部地区。巨灾防范对策包括:提高认识、加强研究、建立管理系统及预警系统、制定应急预案、加强国际合作交流等。 

关 键 词:巨灾    风险    原因    防范
文章编号:1006-6616(2006)02-0119-08
收稿时间:2006-03-31
修稿时间:2006年3月31日

HUGE DISASTER RISK AND PREVENTION IN CHINA
ZHANG Ye-cheng,MA Zong-jin,GAO Qing-hu,ZHANG Li-hai and LIU Feng-min.HUGE DISASTER RISK AND PREVENTION IN CHINA[J].Journal of Geomechanics,2006,12(2):119-126.
Authors:ZHANG Ye-cheng  MA Zong-jin  GAO Qing-hu  ZHANG Li-hai and LIU Feng-min
Institution:1. National Geological Material Center, Ministry of Land and Resources, Yanjiao 065201, Hebei;2. Institute of Geology, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100029
Abstract:Huge disasters refer to the natural disasters that cause the huge loss of life and property and have serious impact on social and economic development.Huge disasters in China include extraordinary floods,large earthquakes,exceedingly large storm tides and sustained droughts over large tracts.Huge disasters have occurred in 18 different years since the founding of the People's Republic of China.The root-causes for frequent occurrence of huge disasters are complex and highly varied natural conditions,intense and abnormal dynamic activities,weak disaster reduction infrastructure and insufficient huge disaster prevention ability.Huge disasters still seriously threaten the national safety,society and economy in the future.It is estimated that 11 high-risk areas are distributed in eastern coastal areas and a part of central areas in China.The countermeasures of huge disaster prevention include raising people's awareness,enhancing study,establishing a management system and an early-warning system,working out an emergence plan and strengthening international exchange.
Keywords:huge disaster  risk  cause  prevention
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