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云南地区强震活跃期与平静期的某些特征
引用本文:赵洪声,张立,黄云宝.云南地区强震活跃期与平静期的某些特征[J].地震研究,2005,28(2):129-132.
作者姓名:赵洪声  张立  黄云宝
作者单位:云南省地震局,昆明,650041
摘    要:重点研究了20世纪以来云南4次强震活跃期的酝酿及启动过程,发现地壳内构造能量的多年加速积累是形成云南强震活跃期的必要条件,而月球的运行位置及地表涝旱振荡的加剧又进一步调控着活跃期的时间。在此基础上,建立了一套预测云南强震活跃期的定量判据,并应用于对云南地区下一强震活跃期的实际监视中。

关 键 词:强震  活跃期  平静期  白赤交角  涝旱剧变
文章编号:1000-0666-(2005)02-0129-04
修稿时间:2004年8月5日

Discussion on Some Features of Active and Quiet Periods of Strong Seismicity in Yunnan
ZHAO Hong-sheng,ZHANG Li,HUANG Yun-bao.Discussion on Some Features of Active and Quiet Periods of Strong Seismicity in Yunnan[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2005,28(2):129-132.
Authors:ZHAO Hong-sheng  ZHANG Li  HUANG Yun-bao
Abstract:The seismic activity in Yunnan is characterized by the alternation of active and quiet periods. By studying the preparation and initiation processes of four active periods of strong earthquakes in Yunnan since the 20th century, it is found that the continuous accumulation of structural strain in the crust is the essential condition to form the active period of strong earthquakes in Yunnan, the position of the moon and the sharp change between drought and waterlogging further regulate the occurrence time of strong seismic active period. According to this, we built a set of quantification index to forecast future active period of strong erthquakes in Yunnan.
Keywords:strong earthquake  active period  quiet period  obliquity of the lunar orbit  draught and waterlogging change  
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