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基于MIKE BASIN的石羊河流域水资源管理模拟模型
引用本文:孙栋元,卢书超,李元红,王军德,胡想全,程玉菲.基于MIKE BASIN的石羊河流域水资源管理模拟模型[J].水文,2015,35(6):50-56.
作者姓名:孙栋元  卢书超  李元红  王军德  胡想全  程玉菲
作者单位:甘肃省水利科学研究院
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51369004,51369003);水利部公益性行业科研专项(201001060);甘肃省技术研究与开发专项计划项目(1205TCYA005);
摘    要:水资源高效管理是提高水资源动态管理的有效方式,是实现地表水、地下水、再生水等多水源联合调配,提高水资源利用效率的综合管理措施,为水资源合理配置和高效利用提供技术支撑。以石羊河流域为研究对象,基于MIKE BASIN模型,根据研究区降水、蒸发和用水等资料,建立了石羊河流域水资源管理模型,模拟了石羊河流域径流量、水库和灌区需用水量变化特征。从模拟结果可以看出,所建立的水资源管理模型是正确的,选取的参数和计算的结果基本合理,模拟结果总体上反映了流域水资源变化状况,符合石羊河流域水资源的实际情况。通过模型预测了2015与2020年流域需水量,从预测结果可以看出,2015年较2010年减少23 572,19×10~4m~3,2020年较2015年减少20 926,77×10~4m~3,说明整体上流域需水量呈下降趋势。

关 键 词:MIKE  BASIN  石羊河流域  水资源管理  模拟模型
收稿时间:2014/8/1 0:00:00

Simulation Model of Water Resources Management Based on MIKE BASIN for Shiyanghe River Basin
SUN Dongyuan,LU Shuchao,LI Yuanhong,WANG Junde,HU Xiangquan,CHENG Yufei.Simulation Model of Water Resources Management Based on MIKE BASIN for Shiyanghe River Basin[J].Hydrology,2015,35(6):50-56.
Authors:SUN Dongyuan  LU Shuchao  LI Yuanhong  WANG Junde  HU Xiangquan  CHENG Yufei
Institution:Gansu Research Institute for Water Conservancy, Lanzhou 730000, China
Abstract:The water resources high -effective management is efiective mode for improving water resources dynamic management, and iscomprehensive management measures for realizing conjunetive regulation for surface water, groundwater, reuse water and muliple sources ofwater and improving water resources utilization efficieney, which willoffer technical support for water resources rational collocation and high-effective using.Taking Shiyanghe River as the study case ,aceording to precipitation, evaporation and water use data, the water resourcesmanagement model was established based on MIKE BASIN,and variation characteristics of runof,reservoirs and water demand and used ofirigated area were simulated in the Shiyanghe River Basin. The results show that water resources management model is correct and the chosenparameter and calculated results are reasonable.The simulation results relect variation of water resources and accord with the condition of theShiyanghe River.The water demands in 2015 and 2020 were forecasted with MIKEBASIN model. The forecasted results show that water demandstaken on downtrend from 2010 to 2020 in the Shiyanghe River.The water demands decreased by 23 572.19x10''m'' in 2015 than those in 2010.and will decrease by 20 926.77×10''m'' in 2020 than those in 2015,which means the water demands show a decrease trend.
Keywords:MIKE BASIN  Shiyanghe River Basin  water resources management  simulation model
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