| 我国台风业务预报的评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 费亮,吴天泉,徐静远.我国台风业务预报的评价[J].应用气象学报,1989,4(3):319-327. |
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| 作者姓名： | 费亮 吴天泉 徐静远 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.上海台风研究所
(费亮，吴天泉)，上海台风研究所(徐静远) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据1985—1987年三年资料，评价我国当前台风业务预报现状，并介绍了各种台风移向移速预极方法误差的情况，并按处罚分排列它们的名次，使预报员能了解几种主要客观方法的性能，有利于业务预报的改进。
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An Evaluation of Typhoon Operational Forecast in China |
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| Institution: | (Shanghai Typhoon Institute) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, using the typhoon data during 1985—1987, the current operational forecasting status has been evaluated. Also, the errors of the typhoon forecasting with different methods for the moving direction and speed have shown. According to the verification of typhoon forecast, the names of arrangement in the order of their scores have been given. Therefore, the forecasters could be to understand the performance for the methods and to improve the operational forecast. |
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