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1999—2009年新疆能源消费碳排放的因素分解及实证研究
引用本文:顾成军,龚新蜀.1999—2009年新疆能源消费碳排放的因素分解及实证研究[J].地域研究与开发,2012,31(3):140-144.
作者姓名:顾成军  龚新蜀
作者单位:石河子大学经济与管理学院,新疆石河子,832003
基金项目:新疆生产建设兵团软科学项目,石河子大学研究生创新基金重点项目
摘    要:从影响因素角度用LMDI分解方法对新疆1999—2009年的碳排放进行研究。结果表明:能源结构和能源强度对新疆人均碳排放增长起抑制效应,且能源强度的抑制效应大于能源结构的抑制效应;产业规模和人口规模对新疆人均碳排放增长起拉动效应,且产业规模的拉动效应大于人口规模的拉动效应。能源强度和能源结构的抑制效应难以抵消由产业规模和人口规模拉动的新疆人均碳排放的增长。在实证研究结果的基础上提出了相应的政策建议。

关 键 词:能源消费  碳排放  因素分解  新疆

Factors Decomposition and Empirical Study of Energy Consumption Carbon Emission in Xinjiang from 1999 to 2009
Gu Chengjun , Gong Xinshu.Factors Decomposition and Empirical Study of Energy Consumption Carbon Emission in Xinjiang from 1999 to 2009[J].Areal Research and Development,2012,31(3):140-144.
Authors:Gu Chengjun  Gong Xinshu
Institution:(School of Economics & Management,Shihezi University,Shihezi 832003,China)
Abstract:The outcomes of using the LMDI decomposition method to analyze Xinjiang carbon emissions from 1999 to 2009 from the angle of influencing factor show that energy structure and energy efficiency have the inhibition effect on the carbon emission growth per person in Xinjiang,and the inhibiting effect of energy intensity is greater than that of the energy structure;Industrial scale and population size have stimulating effect on the carbon emission growth per person in Xinjiang,and the stimulating effect of industrial scale effect is greater than that of population size.Finally,this paper puts forward the corresponding polices and suggestions on the basis of empirical study.
Keywords:energy consumption  carbon emission  factors decomposition  Xinjiang
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