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基于径向基函数神经网络的地震液化侧移预测
引用本文:范珂显,李恒,张祎.基于径向基函数神经网络的地震液化侧移预测[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2021,41(12):1271-1275.
作者姓名:范珂显  李恒  张祎
作者单位:中国地震局地震大地测量重点实验室,武汉市洪山侧路40号,430071;中国地震局地震大地测量重点实验室,武汉市洪山侧路40号,430071;武汉地震工程研究院有限公司,武汉市洪山侧路40号,430071
摘    要:在已有的地震液化侧移数据库中增加累积绝对速度(CAV5)这一地震参数,以考虑震源机制对液化侧移的影响。然后采用径向基函数神经网络(RBFNN)方法建立地震液化侧移预测模型,并与其他模型进行对比分析。结果表明,本文模型预测精确度最高;CAV5在液化侧移预测方面可以代替震级、震中距2项参数;所有参数中,震级、震中距、可液化土层厚度敏感性较高,对液化侧移影响程度较大。

关 键 词:地震震害  液化侧移  径向基函数神经网络  敏感性分析  影响参数  

Evaluation of Earthquake Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spread Based on RBFNN
FAN Kexian,LI Heng,ZHANG Yi.Evaluation of Earthquake Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spread Based on RBFNN[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2021,41(12):1271-1275.
Authors:FAN Kexian  LI Heng  ZHANG Yi
Abstract:In this study, we add the cumulative absolute velocity (CAV5) to the existing seismic liquefaction-induced lateral spread database to consider the effect of focal mechanism on liquefaction-induced lateral spread. Then, we use the radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) method to establish the liquefaction-induced lateral spread prediction model of earthquake liquefaction. The results show that our model has higher prediction accuracy than other models; CAV5 can replace the magnitude and epicentral distance in the prediction of liquefaction-induced lateral spread. The magnitude, epicentral distance and liquefiable soil layer thickness of all parameters are more sensitive and have a greater impact on liquefaction-induced lateral spread.
Keywords:earthquake damage  liquefaction-induced lateral spread  RBFNN  sensitivity analysis  affecting parameters  
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