| 用地震动态空区法对乌苏5.8级地震的回顾性预测检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 邢佑宏.用地震动态空区法对乌苏5.8级地震的回顾性预测检验[J].内陆地震,1999,13(3):253-257. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邢佑宏 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆石河子市地震办公室!石河子832000 |
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| 摘 要： | 简述了用单个地震空区分析预报１９９５年５月２日乌苏南５．８级地震的过程，并用地震动态空区法对该地震的孕育过程及时，空，强三要素进行了回顾性预测，结果表明：该方法对地震三要素具有一定的预报能力，特别是对发震地点能作为较好预测，但只适于作中长期预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震空区 孕震过程 地震预报 回顾性预测 |
RETROSPECTIVEPREDICTIONANDCHECK OFWUSU MS5.8 EARTHQUAKEBY THEMETHOD OF DYNAMICSEISMICGAPS |
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| Xing Youhong.RETROSPECTIVEPREDICTIONANDCHECK OFWUSU MS5.8 EARTHQUAKEBY THEMETHOD OF DYNAMICSEISMICGAPS[J].Inland Earthquake,1999,13(3):253-257. |
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| Authors: | Xing Youhong |
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| Abstract: | The processofusing single seism icgap to analyze and predictthe southern Wusu MS5.8 earthquake on May 2,1995 is sim ply described.And the 3 seism ic elem ents oftim e,location and intensity are m ade a retrospective prediction by m eans of dynam ic seism ic gaps.The re- sultshow s thatthis m ethod has certain ability in predicting 3 seism ic elem ents,especially in predicting the location of earthquake occurrence,but it just fit the m edium -term and long- term prediction ofearthquakes. |
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| Keywords: | Seism ic gap Seism ogenic process Earthquake prediction Retrospective prediction |
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