Estimation of flow enhancement in the Kinneret watershed due to cloud seeding |
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| Authors: | A Ben-Zvi M Langerman |
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| Institution: | (1) Israel Hydrological Service, P.O. Box 6381, 91063 Jerusalem, Israel;(2) Rainfall Enhancement Branch, Shaham, Ben-Gurion Airport, Israel |
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| Abstract: | A comparison is carried out between historical records of the flow measured in Kinneret watershed during and prior to the time of cloud seeding for rainfall enhancement. Precipitation series for the control area of the meteorological experimentation serve as a reference for the comparison. The fluctuations of the flow, which would have occurred unless the effect of the seeding, are estimated by a linear regression on the precipitation as the control. The regression parameters are calibrated separately for the unseeded and for the seeded time series. The model with the parameters calibrated for the unseeded series is applied on the rainfall recorded during the seeded time, and vice versa. The difference between the measured and the computed data is attributed to the effect of cloud seeding. Similar comparisons are carried out with respect to rainfall series recorded at the target area and at the edge of the enhanced area.The results indicate that the flow from the affected sector of the watershed has been enhanced, with respect to the control, by 31×106
m
3/year, at a significance level of 31. This enhancement is 5% of the volume which is generated in that area. The rates found with respect to the rainfall at the edge are higher than those found with respect to the control, while those with respect to the rainfall at the center of the target area are lower. |
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| Keywords: | Cloud seeding Rainfall enhancement Regression |
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