| 韵律模式及其在热带气旋预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 苗其芬,肖晖.韵律模式及其在热带气旋预报中的应用[J].台湾海峡,1999,18(2):221-226. |
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| 作者姓名： | 苗其芬 肖晖 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 厦门同安气象局，厦门 361100
2. 国家海洋局第三海洋研究所，厦门 361005 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文从单站气压，气温和湿度时间变化曲线图上分析归纳得到的６个月韵律模式，在入侵厦门同安区的热带气液长期预报服务实践中收到了良好的效果。本韵律模式预报简便，预报准确度高出气候概率４倍以上。
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| 关 键 词： | 热带气旋 福建 气旋预报 韵律模式 |
Rhythm mode and its applications in forecasting tropic cyclone |
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| Miao Qifen.Rhythm mode and its applications in forecasting tropic cyclone[J].Journal of Oceanography In Taiwan Strait,1999,18(2):221-226. |
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| Authors: | Miao Qifen |
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| Abstract: | The troic cyclone, which alwars instrudes our county every year, of ten brings serious effects on the people life and the indusry and agriculture production. The six monthly rhythm mods, wihch are got from the analysis of the single station atmosphere pressure, temperature, humidity, time variation curve charts, have made good effects in the long range tropic cyclone forecast. The rhythm mode is easy to forecast and the forecast accuracy is more than four times of the climate probability. |
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| Keywords: | Rhythm mode tropic cyclone Fujian |
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