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水平地应变变化与地震临震三要素的预测试验
引用本文:高福晖.水平地应变变化与地震临震三要素的预测试验[J].四川地震,2001,1(1):13-19.
作者姓名:高福晖
作者单位:中国科学院成都分院,
摘    要:本文是20多年前的试验总结,作为交流经验。地震预测预报的关键是临震前三要素(时间、地点、震级)及地震影响范围的预测预报。要做到临震预报,就要观测临震前的直接性前兆信息。地应变变化是临震的直接性前兆信息之一。本文用地震力学观点,采用自制地应变传感器观测水平地应变变化,找出水平地应变变化与临震的关系,从而作出地震临震前三要素的预测预报。

关 键 词:临震三要素  预测试验  应变阶跃
文章编号:1001-8115(2001)01-0013-07
修稿时间:2000年2月22日

Research on the relationship between the horizontal stress changes and the forecast of three essential elements before same earthquakes
GAO Fu-hui.Research on the relationship between the horizontal stress changes and the forecast of three essential elements before same earthquakes[J].Earthquake Research in Sichuan,2001,1(1):13-19.
Authors:GAO Fu-hui
Abstract:A method using change data of horizontal stress to predict three essential elements before an earthquake was experimented 25 years ago. These three elements (time, place and earthquake magnitude) are the key of earthquake forecast. Using the method of seismic dynamics, the author of this paper try to observe the horizontal stress changes recorded by the self-made sensors and to find out the relationship between earthquake and stress data. But more experiment and improvement are needed to these ideas and the method.
Keywords:crustal deformation precursor  ground deformation anomaly  strain observation  earthquake prediction  
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