| 2002-2015年中国社会保障水平时空分异及驱动机制 |
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| 引用本文： | 李琼,周宇,田宇,吴雄周,张蓝澜.2002-2015年中国社会保障水平时空分异及驱动机制[J].地理研究,2018,37(9):1862-1876. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李琼 周宇 田宇 吴雄周 张蓝澜 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 吉首大学商学院,吉首 4160002. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所吉首大学院士专家工作站,吉首 4160003. 中山大学管理学院,广州 5102754. 长沙理工大学经济管理学院,长沙 410004 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目（41761029）;国家社会科学基金项目（15BSH122）;湖南省哲学社会科学基金资助项目（17YBX029）;湖南省科技计划项目（2016RS2021）;社会保险基金水平;医疗保险基金累计结余（亿元）;养老保险基金累计结余（亿元）;失业保险基金累计结余（亿元）;生育保险基金累计结余（亿元）;新农合基金累计结余（亿元）;城乡居保基金累计结余（亿元）;工伤保险基金累计结余（亿元） |
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| 摘 要： | 运用主成分分析法对2002-2015年的中国社会保障水平进行测算,分析其时空分异特征,同时运用地理加权回归模型分析其影响因素及驱动机制。研究表明：① 中国社会保障总体、地区水平在逐年提高,但区域相对保障水平差距有扩大趋势。② 中国社会保障水平发展不均衡,社会保障水平的“东—中—西”的格局与中国地区发展的格局相吻合。社会保障水平的热点区和冷点区表现出较明显的空间演变特征,高热点区在东部地区扩散并向中部地区辐射,冷点区在西部地区分布并不断加深和强化。③ 人均GDP、农村人均纯收入、城镇化率、教育水平、财政转移支付5个因素,形成经济、教育、财政和社会四大驱动力引致社会保障水平的时序变化和空间布局。
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| 关 键 词： | 社会保障水平 时空分异 驱动机制 中国 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018-03-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2018-07-18 |
Spatial and temporal differentiation and driving mechanism of social security level in China during 2002-2015 |
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| Qiong LI,Yu ZHOU,Yu TIAN,Xiongzhou WU,Lanlan ZHANG.Spatial and temporal differentiation and driving mechanism of social security level in China during 2002-2015[J].Geographical Research,2018,37(9):1862-1876. |
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| Authors: | Qiong LI Yu ZHOU Yu TIAN Xiongzhou WU Lanlan ZHANG |
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| Institution: | 1. Jishou University Business School, Jishou 416000, Hunan, China2. Jishou University Academician Workstation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Jishou 416000, Hunan, China3. School of Management, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China4. School of Economics and Management, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410004, China |
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| Abstract: | Using the principal component analysis to measure the level of social security in China from 2002 to 2015, this paper analyzes its spatial-temporal differentiation, and uses the geographically weighted regression model to explore its influencing factors and driving mechanisms. Results show that: (1) The overall level of social security in China and the regional level have been increasing year by year, but the security level gap between regions has increased; (2) The level of social security in China is not balanced, and the pattern of "Eastern-Central-Western (region)" in social security is consistent with the pattern of economic development in China. The hotspot and cold spot areas of social security level of the country show more obvious characteristics of spatial evolution. High-hot spot areas have been spreading to the eastern region and radiating to the central region. Cold spot areas are distributed and continuously strengthened in the western region; (3) Per capita GDP, rural per capita net income, urbanization rate, education level, financial transfer payment, and the formation of the four driving forces of economy, education, finance, and society lead to the temporal changes and spatial distribution of social security. |
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| Keywords: | social security level time and space differentiation driving mechanism China |
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