|
|||||
|
|
Potential effects of incoming climate changes on the behaviour of slow active landslides in clay |
|
| Authors: | Luca Comegna Luciano Picarelli Edoardo Bucchignani Paola Mercogliano |
| Institution: | 1. Department of Civil Engineering, Seconda Università degli Studi di Napoli, Via Roma 29, 81031, Aversa, Italy 2. Analysis and Monitoring of Environmental Risks, AMRA, Naples, Italy 3. Italian Aerospace Research Center, CIRA, Capua, Italy 4. Euro-Mediterranean Centre for Climatic Changes, CMCC, Lecce, Italy |
| Abstract: | Today, a stimulating debate involves the scientific community about the impact of presumable future climate changes on the human life. One of the main question marks concerns their effects on hydrological hazards. Unfortunately, often such a debate is not based on reliable data. The paper proposes a methodology based on the coupling of climatic scenarios and geotechnical analyses accounting for the potential changes in climate parameters. Some analyses have been carried out to forecast the future behaviour of a slow landslide in clay. According to the adopted model, local climate effects should cause a slow decrease in the displacement rate. |
| Keywords: | |
| 本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录！ | |