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Using habitat suitability models for multiscale forensic geolocation analysis
Authors:Haoyu Wang  Jennifer A Miller  Tony H Grubesic  Shalene Jha
Institution:1. Department of Geography and the Environment, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA;2. Center for Geospatial Sciences, School of Public Policy, University of California at Riverside, Riverside, California, USA;3. Department of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA
Abstract:Pollen is one of the most durable environmental materials that law enforcement agencies recover as trace evidence from people and objects. Although links between objects and geographic locations are essential during legal investigations, the approach of using pollen and other microbial fingerprints to build these links in an analytical framework is still underutilized. This study uses bees as objects that are mobile and collects environmental traces as a test case to determine the efficacy of predictive geolocation efforts with recovered pollen and species distribution models at both subcontinental and global scales. Results demonstrate promising performance in both the predictive capability of species distribution models and identification of possible location history of bees at both study extents. When coupling pollen with other categories of evidentiary items, this geographic attribution framework can aid law enforcement personnel in refining investigation priorities and optimizing search strategies.
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