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基于景观生态学和马尔可夫模型的日本北九州土地利用分析
引用本文:官冬杰,高伟俊,渡利和之,深堀秀敏.基于景观生态学和马尔可夫模型的日本北九州土地利用分析[J].地理学报(英文版),2008,18(4):455-468.
作者姓名:官冬杰  高伟俊  渡利和之  深堀秀敏
作者单位:官冬杰,高伟俊,渡利和之,GUAN Dongjie,GAO Weijun,WATARI Kazuyuki(Department of Environmental Space Design, Faculty of Environmental Engineering, The University of Kitakyushu, Kitakyuehu 8080135, Japan);深堀秀敏,FUKAHORI Hidetoshi(Planning Section of Sewer and River Department in Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu 8080135, Japan) 
基金项目:Sasakawa Scientific Foundation of Japan,国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划),国家自然科学基金 
摘    要:Based on four phases of TM images acquired in 1990, 1995, 2000 and 2005, this paper took Kitakyushu in Japan as a case study to analyze spatial change of land use landscape and corresponding effects on environmental issues guided by landscape ecology theory in virtue of combining technology of Remote Sensing with GIS. Firstly, land use types were divided into 6 classes (farmland, mountain, forestland, water body, urban land and unused land) according to national classification standard of land use, comprehensible ability of TM image and purpose of this study. Secondly, following the theory of landscape ecology analysis, 11 typical landscape indices were abstracted to evaluate the environmental effects and spatial feature changes of land use. Research results indicated that land use has grown more and more diversified and unbalanced, human activities have disturbed the landscape more seriously. Finally, transfer matrix of Markov was applied to forecast change process of land use in the future different periods, and then potential land use changes were also simulated from 2010 to 2050. Results showed that conversion tendency for all types of land use in Kitakyushu into urban construction land were enhanced. The study was anticipated to help local authorities better understand and address a complex land use system, and develop improved land use management strategies that could better balance urban expansion and ecological conservation.

关 键 词:景观生态学  马尔可夫模型  日本  北九州  土地利用
收稿时间:11 December 2007

Land use change of Kitakyushu based on landscape ecology and Markov model
Dongjie Guan,Weijun Gao,Kazuyuki Watari,Hidetoshi Fukahori.Land use change of Kitakyushu based on landscape ecology and Markov model[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2008,18(4):455-468.
Authors:Dongjie Guan  Weijun Gao  Kazuyuki Watari  Hidetoshi Fukahori
Institution:1. Department of Environmental Space Design, Faculty of Environmental Engineering, The University of Kitakyushu, Kitakyuehu 8080135, Japan
2. Planning Section of Sewer and River Department in Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu 8080135, Japan
Abstract:Based on four phases of TM images acquired in 1990, 1995, 2000 and 2005, this paper took Kitakyushu in Japan as a case study to analyze spatial change of land use landscape and corresponding effects on environmental issues guided by landscape ecology theory in virtue of combining technology of Remote Sensing with GIS. Firstly, land use types were divided into 6 classes (farmland, mountain, forestland, water body, urban land and unused land) according to national classification standard of land use, comprehensible ability of TM image and purpose of this study. Secondly, following the theory of landscape ecology analysis, 11 typical landscape indices were abstracted to evaluate the environmental effects and spatial feature changes of land use. Research results indicated that land use has grown more and more diversified and unbalanced, human activities have disturbed the landscape more seriously. Finally, transfer matrix of Markov was applied to forecast change process of land use in the future different periods, and then potential land use changes were also simulated from 2010 to 2050. Results showed that conversion tendency for all types of land use in Kitakyushu into urban construction land were enhanced. The study was anticipated to help local authorities better understand and address a complex land use system, and develop improved land use management strategies that could better balance urban expansion and ecological conservation. Foundation: Sasakawa Scientific Foundation of Japan, No.20-238; National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program), No.2006CB403200; National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.40261002; No.40561006 Author: Guan Dongjie (1980–), Ph.D, specialized in application of GIS and eco-environmental assessment.
Keywords:land use  landscape ecology  Markov model  Kitakyushu in Japan
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