A multi-distribution approach to POT methods for determining extreme wave heights |
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| Authors: | Franck Mazas Luc Hamm |
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| Institution: | SOGREAH Consultants, 6 rue de Lorraine 38130 Echirolles, France |
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| Abstract: | Determination of extreme wave heights using a Peaks-Over-Threshold (POT) approach is revisited. Firstly, the GPD-Poisson model is recalled. A double threshold is presented and justified, with objective tools for determining the high threshold. This model is then extended to other statistical distributions, namely the Weibull and Gamma distributions. Objective criteria (BIC and AIC) based upon likelihood are used to select the best-fitting distribution. This method is tested on two locations: the historical IAHR Haltenbanken dataset and a location at the entry of the Strait of Gibraltar. Finally, sensitivity analyses are carried out with respect to the high threshold and to the duration of the dataset to estimate the robustness of the approach presented. |
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| Keywords: | Extreme wave heights POT GPD Multi-distribution BIC/AIC Climate variability |
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