| 中国地级行政区域市场潜力评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 石敏俊,赵曌,金凤君.中国地级行政区域市场潜力评价[J].地理学报,2007,62(10):1063-1072. |
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| 作者姓名： | 石敏俊 赵曌 金凤君 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院研究生院,北京,100049;中国科学院虚拟经济与数据科学研究中心,北京,100080
2. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院百人计划项目
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国家自然科学基金
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国家自然科学基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 从产地—市场空间关系角度,定量分析了我国地级行政区域的市场潜力及其空间格局,揭示了市场通达性与区域发展之间的关联。我国市场潜力指数从沿海地区向内陆地区逐级递减,形成了以沿海地区为中心、内陆地区为外围的中心-外围格局,而且差异在继续扩大。市场潜力与区域经济发展之间在宏观尺度上呈现高度的空间关联,市场潜力高的区域是经济总量集中分布的地区。这种关联印证了市场通达性是区域经济发展的重要影响因素之一,市场潜力与区域经济发展之间存在着循环因果关系。这种循环累积效应使得沿海地区在未来发展中将继续处于优势地位,并导致区域发展差异的进一步扩大。鉴于地区间经济联系对产地-市场空间联系的重要性,经济区位分析需将视野从本地市场扩展到地区间经济联系。西部地区发展与沿海地区的经济联系受到距离和运输成本的限制,应重视扩大内需,改善其市场通达性,促进当地经济发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 产地—市场空间关系 市场通达性 市场潜力 运输成本 区域发展 中国 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-02-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2/6/2007 12:00:00 AM |
A Quantitative Evaluation on Regional Market Potential in China |
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| SHI Minjun,ZHAO Zhao,JIN Fengjun.A Quantitative Evaluation on Regional Market Potential in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2007,62(10):1063-1072. |
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| Authors: | SHI Minjun ZHAO Zhao JIN Fengjun |
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| Institution: | 1. Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Scienees, Beijing 100039, China; 2. Research Center of Fictitous economy and Data Science, CAS, Beijing 100080, China; 3. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper focuses on market potential by taking it as an indicator of market accessibility from a viewpoint of location-market connection, based on the analysis of district-level data in China. The results indicate that market potential index (MPI) degrades from the coastal areas to the inland areas. Furthermore, disparity of market potential between the coastal areas and the inland areas is still expanding unceasingly. Manufacturing industries concentrate in the regions with high market potential. A significant spatial correlation between market potential index and regional economic performance is observed at regional level. Such a spatial correlation has verified that market accessibility is one of the determinants of location choice for manufacturing industries. It also has revealed that there is a circulatory causality between market potential and regional development. The circulatory causality may spur the coastal areas to keep predominance in future and then lead to a continuous expansion of regional disparity. As the inter-regional economic exchange is significant to location-market connection, location analysis should take into account the inter-regional economic exchange. Western China is restricted to develop external linkage with the coastal areas due to long distance to the latter and expensive transport cost. Therefore, the western areas should make a point of expanding internal market to improve market accessibility. |
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| Keywords: | location-market connection market accessibility market potential transport cost regional development China |
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