The expert system for earthquake prediction (I)—the overall design and main structure |
| |
| Authors: | Biquan Wang Zuyin Chen Shutian Ma and Hongshun Fan |
| |
| Institution: | (1) Institute of Geophysics, State Seismological Bureau, 100081 Beijing, China;(2) Beijing Polytechnical University, 100022 Beijing, China |
| |
| Abstract: | The Expert System For Earthquake Prediction (ESEP) is summarized in this paper. ESEP embraces three subsystems: long-middle
term prediction system, annual prediction system and middle-short term prediction system. Each of the subsystems is composed
of seven modules: the controlling module, the data base module, the expert knowledge base module, the method base module,
the fact preparation module, the reasoning and decision-making module and the plotting and displaying module.
The reasoning model ESEP/R and the knowledge expression model ESEP/K are set up in the ESEP, and new evidence combinations,
CON (confine), W (weigh), and SYN (synthesize), have been proposed. The distinctive features of the ESEP are: (1) systemized;
(2) several experts’ knowledge can be synthesized; (3) a large amount of data and experts’ experience is embraced; (4) four
reasoning models and the synthetic decision-making technic are adopted; (5) several software environments are used; (6) modularization;
and (7) possessing the friendly user interfaces.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 1–8, 1992. |
| |
| Keywords: | expert system ESEP earthquake prediction seismic precursor pattern recognition |
| 本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录！ |
|
