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| 基于粮食安全战略下的浙江省耕地保有量研究 | |
| 作者姓名： | 杨丽霞 俞义 苑韶峰 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 浙江财经学院资源环境与城乡规划管理系,杭州,310018 2. 宁波市国土资源局,宁波,315010 3. 浙江工商大学公共管理学院土地资源管理系,杭州,310018 |
| 基金项目： | 浙江省社科联研究项目，杭州市哲学社会科学规划项目 |
| 摘 要： | 依据1996～2008年耕地面积与粮食产量数据,采用基于粮食安全的耕地需求量预测方法,选取总人口、粮播比例、粮食单产、复种指数和人均粮食年需求量5个指标,分析预测了2020年浙江省耕地需求量。预测结果表明,到2020年全省耕地保有量至少为204.9万公顷,由此可见,基于粮食安全的浙江省耕地保护任务的艰巨性,并提出了耕地资源利用与保护的对策建议。 |
| 关 键 词： | 粮食安全 耕地保有量 预测研究 土地资源 耕地保护 |
Study about Least Cultivated Areas Based on Grain Security in Zhejiang Province |
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| Authors: | YANG Li-Xia YU Yi YUAN Shao-Feng |
| Institution: | YANG Li-Xia1,YU Yi2,YUAN Shao-Feng3,4(1.Department of Resource Environment & Urban and Rural Planning Management,Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics,Hangzhou 310018,China,2.Ningbo Land Resources Bureau,Ningbo 315010,3.Zhejiang Gongshang University,4.University of Cambridge,Cambridge CB3 9EP,UK) |
| Abstract: | Under the framework of food security,the indicators of population,crop seeding area to grain seeding area ratio,per capita grain demand per year,duplicate index and grain production per unit are introduce to predict the cultivated land demand in 2020 year,which are based on the data of cultivated land acreage and grain production during the period of 1996~2008 year in Zhejiang Province.The result shows that the minimum cultivated land demand is 2.049×104 ha in 2020 year,the constructive suggestion and countermeasures are proposed for the cultivated land protection and usage based on those analyses. |
| Keywords: | grain security cultivated area forecast research land resources cultivated land protection |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |