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近百年哈尔滨气温的诊断研究
引用本文:刘玉莲,于宏敏,胡晓径.近百年哈尔滨气温的诊断研究[J].黑龙江气象,2008,25(2):1-4.
作者姓名:刘玉莲  于宏敏  胡晓径
作者单位:1. 黑龙江省气候中心,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150030
2. 黑龙江省气象台,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150030
摘    要:用SSA方法分析哈尔滨近98a月平均气温距平序列,得出哈尔滨近百年气温是增温倾向;年代际变化1909~1955年升温,1956~1969年微弱降温,1970~2006年明显升温;年际变化主要有2.315a年和4.06a振荡;月际变化主要存在8.33个月振荡。

关 键 词:气温变率  奇异谱分析  诊断

An Analysis of Harbin Temperature during the Last One Hundred Years
LIU Yulian,YU Hongmin,HU Xiaojing.An Analysis of Harbin Temperature during the Last One Hundred Years[J].Heilongjiang Meteorology,2008,25(2):1-4.
Authors:LIU Yulian  YU Hongmin  HU Xiaojing
Institution:LIU Yulian ,YU Hongmin,HU Xiaojing (1.Heilongjiang Provincial Climate Center, Heilongjiang Harbin 150030; 2.Heilongjiang Provincial Meteorological Observatory,Heilongjiang Harbin 150030)
Abstract:In this paper,the SSA method is used to analyze the monthly mean temperature in Harbin nearly hundred years. The results show that temperature of Harbin is increasing trend in century-scale. In this background, increasing process has apparent decadal-scale variety: there is a period of temperature increasing from 1909 to 1955, slender decreasing from 1956 to 1969, then outstanding temperature increasing is followed after 1970. Moreover, there are 2.315 and 4.06 yearly cycle in annual-scale and 8.33 monthly cycle in monthly-scale.
Keywords:temperature variability  SSA  diagnose
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