| 南黄海海域风暴潮精细化数值模式研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 韩雪,盛建明,潘锡山,刘仕潮,李春辉.南黄海海域风暴潮精细化数值模式研究[J].海洋预报,2019,36(1):52-58. |
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| 作者姓名： | 韩雪 盛建明 潘锡山 刘仕潮 李春辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 江苏省海涂研究中心,江苏南京,210036;江苏省海涂研究中心,江苏南京210036;港口航道泥沙工程交通行业重点实验室,江苏南京210029;国家海洋环境预报中心,北京,100081;南京信息工程大学,江苏南京,210044 |
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| 基金项目： | 港口航道泥沙工程交通行业重点实验室开放基金;海岸灾害;教育部重点实验室开放基金;江苏省自然科学基金青年项目;江苏省自然科学基金青年项目;国家科技支撑计划 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于目前国际上应用广泛的ADCIRC水动力模型在南黄海海域建立了重点岸段网格分辨率达到100 m的精细化风暴潮数值预报模型,该模型采用非结构三角网格及并行计算技术,能够准确地刻画出南黄海海域复杂的岸线分布和地形情况。通过对历史典型台风风暴潮和温带风暴潮的模拟、预报检验发现:台风风暴潮的后报平均相对误差为14%,温带风暴潮24 h预报平均相对误差为12.9%。
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| 关 键 词： | 风暴潮 ADCIRC 数值预报 南黄海海域 |
Study on the refined storm surge numerical model in the Southern Yellow Sea |
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| HAN Xue,SHENG Jian-ming,PAN Xi-shan,LIU Shi-chao,LI Chun-hui.Study on the refined storm surge numerical model in the Southern Yellow Sea[J].Marine Forecasts,2019,36(1):52-58. |
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| Authors: | HAN Xue SHENG Jian-ming PAN Xi-shan LIU Shi-chao LI Chun-hui |
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| Institution: | (Jiangsu Marine Environment Monitoring and Forecasting Center,Nanjng 210036 China;Key Laboratory of Port,Waterway and SedimentationEngineering of Ministry of Transport,Nanjing 210029 China;National Marine Environment Forecasting Center,Beijing 100081 China;Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044 China) |
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| Abstract: | A refined storm surge numerical prediction model with spatial resolution up to 100m is established for the southern Yellow Sea based on the internationally widely used Advanced Circulation Model(ADCIRC).The model uses unstructured triangular mesh and parallel computing technology,which could accurately depict the complex underwater terrain and shoreline distribution of the southern Yellow Sea.Through numerical simulation and forecast validation of typical typhoon storm surges and extratropical storm surge in the history,it is shown that the relative error of typhoon storm surge hindcast and extratropical storm surge 24 forecast is 14%and 12.9%on average,respectively. |
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| Keywords: | storm surge ADCIRC model numerical forecasting Southern Yellow Sea |
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