| 对T63L16所作月延伸预报准确率的评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 张存杰,董安祥.对T63L16所作月延伸预报准确率的评估[J].气象,1998,24(10):38-42. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张存杰 董安祥 |
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| 作者单位： | 甘肃省气候资料中心 |
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| 摘 要： | 对国家气候中心１９９６年１－１２月和１９９７年１－８月用Ｔ６３Ｌ１６模式所做的５７次月延伸预报５００ｈＰａ高度场进行了检验评估，并对 系统性误差进行了分析和订正。同时对西北气候变化有较大影响的在循环流系统的环流特征量进行了检验，并给出了订正偏差。
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| 关 键 词： | T63L16模式 延伸预报 准确率 评估 天气预报 |
An Assessment on the Accuracy of Monthly Dynamic Extended Forecast of T63L16 Model |
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| Zhang Cunjie\ Dong Anxiang.An Assessment on the Accuracy of Monthly Dynamic Extended Forecast of T63L16 Model[J].Meteorological Monthly,1998,24(10):38-42. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Cunjie\ Dong Anxiang |
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| Abstract: | By use of T63L16 model of NCC, 57 monthly dynamic extended predictions of 500hPa height from January to December of 1996 and from January to August of 1997 were given, and the predictive accuracy was checked and assessed. The characteristic figure of the general circulation system that impacted on the climate of Northwest of China was checked, the error corrections also were given. |
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| Keywords: | T63L16 model\ dynamic extended forecast\ accuracy\ assessment |
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