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山地冰川与湖泊萎缩所指示的亚洲中部气候干暖化趋势与未来展望
引用本文:施雅风.山地冰川与湖泊萎缩所指示的亚洲中部气候干暖化趋势与未来展望[J].地理学报,1990(1).
作者姓名:施雅风
作者单位:中国科学院兰州冰川冻土所 中国科学院南京地理与湖泊所
摘    要:天山北坡乌鲁木齐河1号冰川与土尤克苏冰川物质平衡观察表示80年代比以前出现大的亏损。青海湖与伊赛克湖在近百年一直处于萎缩状态。从小冰期最盛时以来,乌鲁木齐河谷中冰川面积已缩去44%。上述及其他冰川与湖泊变化证据清楚地指示本世纪气候干暖化趋势增强了,并可能延续到下世纪初。但如由于CO_2及其他痕量气体增加所致的温室效应使下世纪重现全新世早、中期那样的高温,则亚洲中部有可能转为潮湿。

关 键 词:冰川物质平衡  湖水位变化  小冰期  全新世高温期  气候干暖化

GLACIER RECESSION AND LAKE SHRINKAGE INDICATINGTHE CLIMATIC WARMING AND DRYING TRENDIN CENTRAL ASIA
Shi Yafeng.GLACIER RECESSION AND LAKE SHRINKAGE INDICATINGTHE CLIMATIC WARMING AND DRYING TRENDIN CENTRAL ASIA[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,1990(1).
Authors:Shi Yafeng
Institution:Lanzhou Institute of Glaciology and Geocryology
Abstract:Mass balance observations on Urumqi River, No.1 Glacier and Tuyuksu Glacier in Tian-shan show a large deficit during the 1980's as compared with the decades before. The Qinghai Lake in Northeastern Qinghai-xizang (Tibet) Plateau and the Issyk-kul Lake in Soviet Tianshan have been continuously shrinking during the past few centuries. Since the maximum of the Little Ice Age which occurred mainly in the 18th century, glaciers have decreased in area by about 44% in the Urumqi valley. These data and other evidence of glaciers, lakes, etc. clearly indicate that the climatic warming and drying tendency grows stronger in this century and would possibly persist to the early decades of next century. The growing greenhouse effect due to the increase of CO2 and other related gases will enhance this tendency in the near future. However, should the high temperature period of the early and middle Holocene reappear, the climate might become humid.
Keywords:Mass balance of glacier  Lake level change  Little glacial age  Optimum  Dry-warming trends
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