| 淮河洪水的可公度性分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 胡辉.淮河洪水的可公度性分析[J].天文研究与技术,2004,1(2):129-132. |
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| 作者姓名： | 胡辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院国家天文台云南天文台,云南昆明650011 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(10373017). |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了上两个世纪发生在淮河的洪水事件的可公度性，根据其可公度值及其黄金分割点指出1991年与2003年淮河洪水的不可避免，最后讨论了可公度性的局限及淮河洪水可公度值的可能机制。
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| 关 键 词： | 淮河 洪水 可公度性 黄金分割点 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-7673(2004)02-0129-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年10月12 |
Analysis of Commensurability of Occurrence of Floodwater in Huaihe River |
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| HU Hui.Analysis of Commensurability of Occurrence of Floodwater in Huaihe River[J].Astronomical Research & Technology,2004,1(2):129-132. |
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| Authors: | HU Hui |
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| Abstract: | Weng Wenbo firstly pointed out that the occurrence of a floodwater has the commensurability,and applied the principle of commensurability to the prediction of large natural hazards.What is the commensurability? The commensurability represents the regulation of the occurrence and development of the event itself,thereby mirroring the internal causes of the development and change of things to a certain extent.Analyzing the floodwaters occurred in the Huaihe River of China since 1827,we find that the occurrence of the floodwaters has the commensurability.The two floodwaters that occurred in the Huaihe River of China in 1991 and 2003 appeared at the points of the commensurable value and golden section of the commensurable value of its time axis,respectively.Thus,the analysis of the commensurability showed that the occurrence of the two floodwaters would be inevitable. |
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| Keywords: | floodwater commensurability golden section |
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