| 上海市灾害综合风险定量评估研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 殷杰,尹占娥,许世远.上海市灾害综合风险定量评估研究[J].地理科学,2009,29(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 殷杰 尹占娥 许世远 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华东师范大学地理系,上海,200062
2. 华东师范大学地理系,上海,200062;上海师范大学地理系,上海,200234 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金重点项目(40730526)“沿海城市自然灾害风险应急预案情景分析”;;国家自然科学基金项目(40571006);;“中国沿海城市自然灾害风险评估体系研究”;;上海市教委重点学科项目(J50402);;上海师范大学重点培育学科项目(DZL801);;上海师范大学科研项目(SK200727)资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 城市灾害风险评估作为城市灾害风险管理的核心,已经成为灾害研究的热点问题。鉴于目前上海城市灾害特征,提出城市灾害综合风险评估的理念,从致灾因子、历史灾情、暴露-易损性和抗灾恢复力等方面选取指标,构建了上海城市灾害综合风险评估指标体系和评估模型。以上海市19个区县进行灾害综合风险评估实证研究,依据评估结果对上海市灾害综合风险特征及其空间分布规律进行深入探讨,为上海城市灾害管理提供科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 上海 城市灾害 风险评估 |
Urban-disasters Composite Risk Assessment of Shanghai |
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| YIN Jie,YIN Zhan'e,XU Shi-yuan.Urban-disasters Composite Risk Assessment of Shanghai[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2009,29(3). |
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| Authors: | YIN Jie YIN Zhan'e XU Shi-yuan |
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| Institution: | 1.Department of Geography;East China Normal University;Shanghai 200062;2.Department of Geography;Shanghai Normal University;Shanghai 200234 |
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| Abstract: | With global climate change and rapid urbanization process,disaster has been a great challenge of development of Shanghai.Risk assessment,as one of the vital tools of risk management,is considered much more important than ever before.In view of characteristic of disaster of Shanghai,this paper puts forward the concept of urban-disaster composite risk,and chooses indexes to build index systems from hazards,historic disasters,exposure & fragibility,resilience ability.And then taking the 19 localities of Shangh... |
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| Keywords: | Shanghai urban-disaster risk assessment |
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