| 洪水的分类预测及优化调度 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 周晓阳,张勇传.洪水的分类预测及优化调度[J].水科学进展,1997,8(2):123-129. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 周晓阳 张勇传 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 华中理工大学数学系 武汉 430074 |
| |
| 基金项目： | “八五”国家重点科技攻关项目(85-16-01-02子题(四)) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 用系统聚类方法将历史洪水数据分成若干类型,并建立了模糊概率预测的隶属度回归方法。由此对未来洪水进行了分类概率预测,结果显示了来水过程具有一定的“类型可预报”的规律性。在此基础上讨论了一种Bayes实时优化调度规则并进行了数值模拟演算。
|
| 关 键 词： | 洪水类型 模糊概率 类型预测 Bayes实时优化调度 |
| 收稿时间： | 1995-11-12 |
Flood Classifying Prediction and Optimal Flood Dispatching |
| |
| Zhou Xiaoyang,Zhang Yongchuan.Flood Classifying Prediction and Optimal Flood Dispatching[J].Advances in Water Science,1997,8(2):123-129. |
| |
| Authors: | Zhou Xiaoyang Zhang Yongchuan |
| |
| Institution: | Huazhong University of science and technology, Wuhan 430074 |
| |
| Abstract: | This paper classifies the flood into several types based on the history flood data by the hierarchical clustering method and builds a fuzzy probability prediction method that is used for real-time flood type forecasting.The result shows that the flood data is predict able to the types in some degree.Then a Bayes real-time dispatching rule is introduced into optimal flood dispatching. |
| |
| Keywords: | flood types fuzzy probability type forecasting Bayes real-time dispatching |
| 本文献已被 维普 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《水科学进展》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《水科学进展》下载免费的PDF全文 |
