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基于新疆分量式钻孔应变异常类型的地震强度预测研究
引用本文:蒋靖祥,赖爱京.基于新疆分量式钻孔应变异常类型的地震强度预测研究[J].内陆地震,2005,19(3):249-256.
作者姓名:蒋靖祥  赖爱京
作者单位:新疆维吾尔自治区地震局,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011
基金项目:本文得到中国地震局三结合课题(200323)、地震科学联合基金(105042)课题资助.
摘    要:研究了钻孔应变年变畸变型异常及指数型异常对地震震级的估计问题,认为年变畸变型异常对大震有较高的映震性能.研究了异常幅度和震中距、时间分布和震级关联问题,结果表明,在时间小于45天时,震级和发震时间呈反比,在时间大于45天时,震级和发震时间呈正比.

关 键 词:钻孔应变  应变异常  地震预测
文章编号:1001-8956(2005)03-0249-08
收稿时间:2005-04-30
修稿时间:2005-07-29

THE PREDICTION STUDY ON EARTHQUAKE INTENSITY BASED ON ANOMALY KINDS OF COMPONENT-TYPE BOREHOLE STRAIN
JIANG Jing-xiang, LAI Ai-jing.THE PREDICTION STUDY ON EARTHQUAKE INTENSITY BASED ON ANOMALY KINDS OF COMPONENT-TYPE BOREHOLE STRAIN[J].Inland Earthquake,2005,19(3):249-256.
Authors:JIANG Jing-xiang  LAI Ai-jing
Institution:Seismological Bureau of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang China
Abstract:The question of earthquake magnitude estimation by the aberration-type anomalies of yearly change and exponent-type anomalies of borehole strain was studied, the result showed, the aberration-type anomalies of yearly change was good on earthquake prediction. The relation between anomaly range and the epicenter distance, the time distribution and earthquake magnitude were studied, the result showed, it was inversion ratio relation between earthquake magnitude and its developing time in the less than 45 days; in the more than 45 days, it is direct ratio relation between earthquake magnitude and its developing time.
Keywords:Borehole strain  Strain anomaly  Earthquake prediction
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