On estimating the reliability of functioning of Moskvoretskaya water system and Volga-Kama chain of hydropower plants in a long dry period |
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| Authors: | M V Bolgov |
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| Institution: | 1.Water Problems Institute,Russian Academy of Sciences,Moscow,Russia |
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| Abstract: | An approach is proposed to assessing the reliability of functioning of a complex water management system under the conditions
of a long dry period. The approach involves the specification of scenarios of long-term changes in the annual runoff. A method
of simulation of artificial series of inflow to elements of water management system is proposed. Criteria for the choice of
estimated inflow series are substantiated. The results of water management and hydropower calculations for different scenarios
(models) are discussed. Challenges that may face the water management complex of the Volga basin in extremely dry periods
are formulated. |
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