| 基于不稳定岩石斜坡剪切带蠕变量的滑动时刻预报研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 董兆祥.基于不稳定岩石斜坡剪切带蠕变量的滑动时刻预报研究[J].吉林大学学报(地球科学版),1997(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 董兆祥 |
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| 作者单位： | 石家庄经济学院环境工程系 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用灰色预测理论提出了岩石斜皮剪切带厚度与最大戊变量相关的经验公式和基于最大蠕变量的预测滑坡滑动时刻这一事关防灾效果的系统方法。经意大利瓦依昂水库滑坡观测资料验证，表明本文提出的系统预报方法大幅度地提高了滑动时间预报的精度
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| 关 键 词： | 岩体滑坡，剪切带蠕变量，剪切带厚度，灰色预测，滑坡时间预报 |
THE FORECAST RESEARCH OF THE SLIDING MOMENT OF THE UUSTUBLE ROCKY STOPE IN VIEW TO CALCULATE THE SQUIRMY DEFORMATION OF THE SHEAR ZONES |
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| Dong Zhaoxiang.THE FORECAST RESEARCH OF THE SLIDING MOMENT OF THE UUSTUBLE ROCKY STOPE IN VIEW TO CALCULATE THE SQUIRMY DEFORMATION OF THE SHEAR ZONES[J].Journal of Jilin Unviersity:Earth Science Edition,1997(2). |
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| Authors: | Dong Zhaoxiang |
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| Abstract: | ln this paper advances experimental formula that show the relationship of shear zones thickness of rocky slope to largest date squirimy deforation to apply Grey theory. lt again adiances systematic methods that in view largest date of squirmy defor- mation to calculates sliding moment of rocky slope and it influences effect to interrelate take precautions against calamities. lt was inspected by observe material of reservoir Vajont of ltaly and it makes clear that posed systematic methods increases to forecast precision to a great extent. |
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| Keywords: | sliding slope of rock mass squirmy deformed date of shear zones thickness of shear zones grery forcast to forecast sliding moment of slope |
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