Constructed peer groups and path dependence in international organizations: The case of the international climate change negotiations |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Political Science, University of Zurich, Affolternstrasse 56, 8050 Zurich, Switzerland;2. Center for Comparative and International Studies, ETH and University of Zurich, Affolternstrasse 56, 8050 Zurich, Switzerland;3. Department of Law and Economics, University of Bayreuth, Bayreuth, Germany;1. Department of CSE, MIST, Mirpur Cantonment, Dhaka 1216, Bangladesh;2. A?EDA Group, Department of CSE, BUET, Dhaka 1215, Bangladesh;1. Department of Radiology, The Royal Marsden Hospital, Downs Road, Sutton SM2 5PT, UK;2. Department of Radiology, The Royal Marsden Hospital, Fulham Road, London SW3 6JJ, UK;1. School of Mechanical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China;2. Shanghai Aerospace Equipments Manufacturer, Shanghai, China;3. China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China;1. Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh;2. ICube Laboratory, University of Strasbourg, France;3. Department of Computer Science, University of Manitoba, Canada;4. Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Technology Sydney, Australia;1. School of Information Management and Engineering, Shanghai Key Lab. of Financial Info. Tech., Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, People''s Republic of China;2. Institute of Fintech, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, People''s Republic of China;3. School of Information Engineering, Huzhou University, Zhejiang, 313000, People''s Republic of China |
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| Abstract: | International organizations sometimes institutionalize country groupings by specifying differentiated commitments that may, in turn, affect negotiation dynamics. Drawing on incentive-based and socialization arguments, we develop a “constructed peer group” hypothesis suggesting that by creating these groups those organizations may actually construct new lines of confrontation over and above the substance-based disagreements existing between countries. This generates a particular type of path dependence, rendering broad-based international agreements more difficult in the future.We analyze this question at the example of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change's increasingly politicized split between Annex I and non-Annex I countries. Using a self-coded dataset of country oral statements during the negotiations between December 2007 and December 2009 we assess whether Annex I membership influences a country's stance toward other countries’ arguments, while controlling for country characteristics that may drive their preferences and the affiliation to Annex I. We find that the split between Annex I and non-Annex I has indeed influenced negotiation behavior and amplified the divide between developing and industrialized countries in the climate negotiations. |
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| Keywords: | Climate change UNFCCC Regime design International negotiations Multilateral environmental agreements Differential treatment |
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