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On modelling the effects of afforestation on acidification in heterogeneous catchments at different spatial and temporal scales
Authors:A J Wade  C Neal  C Soulsby  S J Langan  R P Smart
Institution:

a Department of Geography, Aquatic Environments Research Centre, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6AB, UK

b Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UK

c Department of Geography, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 3UF, UK

d Macaulay Land Use Research Institute, Craigiebuckler, Aberdeen AB15 8QH, UK

e Environment Department, University of York, York YO10 5DD, UK

Abstract:A modelling approach is presented for simulating and predicting future changes in streamwater Gran alkalinity throughout a large, heterogeneous river system. The methodology is based on integrating End Member Mixing Analysis (EMMA), the Model of Acidification of Groundwater in Catchments (MAGIC) and spatial data describing the catchment characteristics stored on a Geographical Information System (GIS). These are integrated within a Functional Unit Network (FUN) to predict the changes in Gran alkalinity resulting from possible future changes in atmospheric deposition and land use (low intensity afforestation) in the River Dee catchment, NE Scotland. Model results indicate that declining sulphate and constant nitrogen deposition, combined with low intensity Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris) afforestation are unlikely to contribute significantly to streamwater acidification.
Keywords:Basin management  Water quality  Models  Heterogeneity  Acidification  Forestry  Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris)  Grampian region Scotland
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