Types of probability distributions in the evaluation of extreme floods |
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| Authors: | T S Gubareva |
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| Institution: | 1.Pacific Institute of Geography, Far Eastern Branch,Russian Academy of Sciences,Vladivostok,Russia |
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| Abstract: | The development of an optimal scheme for evaluation of maximal water discharges is discussed, including adequate probability
distribution laws, an effective procedure for their approximation based on observational data, and reliable goodness-of-fit
tests for analytical and empirical distributions. One-dimensional probability distribution laws are systematized. Promising
distributions were identified, including generalized distribution of extreme values, lognormal distribution, Pearson type
V power distribution, and GPD, for evaluating maximal discharges. The available methods for approximating analytical curves,
including the up-to-date method of L-moments are considered. Parameter estimation algorithm based on L-moment method for Pearson type III distribution is considered. Pearson type III distribution, lognormal distribution, GEV,
and GPD are compared in the approximation of maximal water discharges in rivers of Austria, Siberia, Far East, and the Hawaiian
Islands. |
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