| 基于相互作用关系的中国省际人口流动研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 豆晓,ARELLANO Blanca,ROCA Josep.基于相互作用关系的中国省际人口流动研究[J].地理研究,2018,37(9):1848-1861. |
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| 作者姓名： | 豆晓 ARELLANO Blanca ROCA Josep |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 山东农业大学城市管理系,泰安 2710182. 加泰罗尼亚理工大学建筑学院,巴塞罗那 08028,西班牙 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于2000年、2010年人口普查及2005年、2015年人口抽样调查数据,采用相互作用关系模型计算了中国“人口流动系统”和“单向相互作用关系值”。结果表明：① 人口流动具有明显的凝聚性,东部地区对流动人口的吸引力依然具有绝对优势;② 省际人口流动呈“非对称双向迁移模式”,人口回流的趋势已不容忽视;③ 长三角地区逐渐代替珠三角成为新的人口流动中心,人口流动开始北移;④ 中西部地区的人口流动分中心某种意义上已经出现,人口就近转移日渐凸显。将2010-2015年间省际人口流动新规律和特征与1995-2010年进行动态对比,对于制定未来人口和区域发展政策,继续缩小东西部地区之间的差距,最终实现区域协调发展具有重要意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 省际人口流动 人口流动系统 相互作用关系 中国 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018-02-23 |
| 修稿时间： | 2018-07-05 |
China's inter-provincial population flow based on the interaction value analysis |
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| Xiao DOU,Blanca ARELLANO,Josep ROCA.China's inter-provincial population flow based on the interaction value analysis[J].Geographical Research,2018,37(9):1848-1861. |
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| Authors: | Xiao DOU Blanca ARELLANO Josep ROCA |
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| Institution: | 1. Faculty of urban management, Shandong Agriculture University, Taian 271018, Shandong, China2. Barcelona School of Architecture, Polytechnic University of Catalonia, Barcelona 08028, Spain |
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| Abstract: | Based on the national census data of 2000 and 2010 as well as population sample survey of 2005 and 2015, this article utilizes the interaction value to analyze the dynamics of floating population in China. The analysis of "population floating system" demonstrates that: (1) Floating population shows great aggregation, in which exist several "population floating systems". (2) The development of the Yangtze River Delta and the Bohai Economic Rim has witnessed the northward trend of the floating population. (3) The improving inter-provincial connections among the western region has gradually strengthened its importance in China since 2010. In addition, the unidirectional interaction value can not only indicate the scale of the population flows but also explain their directions: (1) The largest unidirectional interaction flow occurs mainly between provinces in eastern China and those in central or western China which are exporters of labor forces. Even though eastern China gathered most of the floating population, some provinces have gradually lost their dominance in attracting population from central and western China. (2) The floating population in China presents a "asymmetric bilateral pattern". With the decline of the three major population centers, return flows have become remarkable. (3) Some sub-centers of floating population emerged in the central and western regions, though they are still developing. (4) Population nearby floating has become increasingly prominent in the western region. According to the analysis above, population research can benefit from the interaction value model by considering the inter-provincial population flows among the whole system and presenting their directions. Meanwhile, making comparison of population flows between 2010-2015 for a better understanding of the new characteristics and patterns of floating population is meaningful in formulating population policies and promote regional coordination. |
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| Keywords: | inter-provincial population flow population floating system interaction value China |
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