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海原断裂带老虎山段晚第四纪滑动速率精确厘定与讨论
引用本文:刘金瑞,任治坤,张会平,李传友,张竹琪,郑文俊,李雪梅,刘彩彩.海原断裂带老虎山段晚第四纪滑动速率精确厘定与讨论[J].地球物理学报,2018,61(4):1281-1297.
作者姓名:刘金瑞  任治坤  张会平  李传友  张竹琪  郑文俊  李雪梅  刘彩彩
作者单位:1. 中国地震局地质研究所 活动构造与火山实验室, 北京 100029;2. 中国地震局地质研究所 地震动力学国家重点实验室, 北京 100029;3. 中山大学地球科学与工程学院 广东省地球动力作用与地质灾害重点实验室, 广州 510275
基金项目:国家重点研发计划(2017YFC1500401),地震动力学国家重点实验室自主课题(LED2014A03)与国家自然科学基金项目(41472201,41761144071,41304073,41661134011,41590861)共同资助.
摘    要:如何准确测定断裂滑动速率是近年来活动构造研究的前沿与热点.随着高精度地形数据获取手段与第四纪测年方法的不断进步,位错量和地貌面年龄的精度均得到大大提高.在进行滑动速率计算时还要考虑地质过程是否合理,蒙特卡洛方法为获取更加符合地质过程的滑动速率提供了重要工具.本文以滑动速率研究程度较低的海原断裂带老虎山段为例,基于LiDAR高精度地形数据,测得T1—T4阶地面年龄分别为1~3 ka,9~11 ka,15~17 ka,40~45 ka,陡坎前缘的位错分别为7~14 m,28~36 m,59~66 m,180~190 m.综合多地点的左旋走滑位错量及不同时代的地貌面年龄数据,并考虑滑动历史,利用蒙特卡洛模拟方法,将位错-时间两个参数的不确定性定量化,限定老虎山断裂45 ka以来平均滑动速率为4.3±0.16 mm·a-1,17ka以来的平均滑动速率为4.0±0.15 mm·a-1,与前人研究得到的狭义海原断裂滑动速率4.5±1.0 mm·a-1基本一致.综合整个海原断裂带滑动速率,本文结果更支持低滑动速率变化趋势,即海原断裂带整体滑动速率趋于稳定,向东至六盘山断裂,滑动速率开始降低,推测海原断裂带的左旋走滑在尾端主要为马东山—六盘山隆起所吸收.结合老虎山断裂历史地震资料和深部锁闭浅部蠕滑的动力学特征,推测老虎山断裂具备与相邻断裂一起触发强震的能力.

关 键 词:青藏高原东北缘  海原断裂带  LiDAR  蒙特卡洛模拟  滑动速率  
收稿时间:2017-06-14

Late Quaternary slip rate of the Laohushan fault within the Haiyuan fault zone and its tectonic implications
LIU JinRui,REN ZhiKun,ZHANG HuiPing,LI ChuanYou,ZHANG ZhuQi,ZHENG WenJun,LI XueMei,LIU CaiCai.Late Quaternary slip rate of the Laohushan fault within the Haiyuan fault zone and its tectonic implications[J].Chinese Journal of Geophysics,2018,61(4):1281-1297.
Authors:LIU JinRui  REN ZhiKun  ZHANG HuiPing  LI ChuanYou  ZHANG ZhuQi  ZHENG WenJun  LI XueMei  LIU CaiCai
Institution:1. Key Laboratory of Active Tectonics and Volcano, Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100029, China;2. State Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics, Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100029, China;3. Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Geodynamics and Geohazards, School of Earth Sciences and Engineering, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
Abstract:How to precisely determine the slip rate is a central topic in active tectonics research. The resolution of offset and dating are greatly improved with the development of high-resolution topographic surveys and Quaternary dating methods. In fault slip rate evaluation, a reliable fault slip rate is derived based on a fault motion under reasonable geological process. Monte Carlo analysis is a method that enables slip rate determination while statistically incorporating displacement and uncertainties. In this study, we target the Laohushan fault within the Haiyuan fault zone. We used 9 dated offsets at three sites along a 25 km segment to derive the average fault slip rate. The ages of T1-T4 terraces were 1~3 ka,9~11 ka,15~17 ka,40~44 ka and the offsets were 7~14 m,28~36 m,59~66 m,180~190 m. The fault slip rate was obtained to be 4.3±0.16 mm·a-1 and 4.0±0.15 mm·a-1 during the past 45 ka and 17 ka, respectively, based on high-resolution LiDAR topographic data and Monte Carlo analysis method. The slip rate of Laohushan fault is comparable with that of the Haiyuan fault. By synthesis of previous results, we find that the fault slip rate is uniform along the main WNW-ESE trending Haiyuan fault, which decreases eastward towards the N-S trending Liupanshan fault. Hence, we propose that the Madongshan and Liupanshan is the main uplifts that absorbing the left-lateral motion along the Haiyuan fault at its Eastern termination. Based on the results we present here and previous observation of shallow creep and locking at depth, we propose that the Laohushan fault is capable of participating in strong earthquakes, comparable to the 1920 M8.5 Haiyuan earthquake. Hence, further investigations are urgently needed to study the paleoseismic history, recurrence interval, seismic hazard potential of the Laohushan fault.
Keywords:The northeastern Tibetan plateau  Haiyuan Fault zone  LiDAR  Monte Carlo analysis method  Slip rate
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