Probabilistic seismic hazard zonation of Syria |
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Authors: | Abdallah I Husein Malkawi Robert Y Liang Jamal H Nusairat Azm S Al-Homoud |
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Institution: | (1) Civil Engineering Department, Jordan University of Science and Technology, PO Box 3030, Irbid, Jordan;(2) The University of Akron, 44325-3905 Akron, OH, USA |
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Abstract: | Earthquake hazard maps for Syria are presented in this paper. The Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and the Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) on bedrock, both with 90% probability of not being exceeded during a life time of 50, 100 and 200 years, respectively are developed. The probabilistic PGA and MMI values are evaluated assuming linear sources (faults) as potential sources of future earthquakes. A new attenuation relationship for this region is developed. Ten distinctive faults of potential earthquakes are identified in and around Syria. The pertinent parameters of each fault, such as theb-parameter in the Gutenberg-Richter formula, the annual rate
4 and the upper bound magnitudem
1 are determined from two sets of seismic data: the historical earthquakes and the instrumentally recorded earthquake data (AD 1900–1992). The seismic hazard maps developed are intended for preliminary analysis of new designs and seismic check of existing civil engineering structures. |
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Keywords: | probabilistic seismic hazard zonation Syria intensity attenuation earthquakes |
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