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The chaotic characteristics of landslide evolution: a case study of Xintan landslide
Authors:Zhiquan Huang  K Tim Law  Handong Liu  Tong Jiang
Institution:(1) North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power, Zhengzhou, 450011, China;(2) Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carleton University, K1S 5B6 Ottawa, ON, Canada
Abstract:A new method based on the chaos theory is used to assess the evolution process of a slope system. The method is applied to the Xintan landslide and the results show: (1) the slope movement is a complex process of the slope going in and out of the stable and chaotic state; (2) the method reveals the evolution process of the slope pointing to the slope failure while the observed movement shows a simple monotonic increase with time; (3) the method is not sufficiently mature to precisely predict the time of failure but it has potential for improvement with further research and more field data for analysis.
Keywords:Xintan landslide  Landslide evolution  Chaos  Lyapunov exponent
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