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Convergence or divergence?: Status and prospects for US climate strategy
Authors:Atle Christer Christiansen
Institution:The Fridtjof Nansen Institute, Box 326, N-1326 Lysaker, Norway
Abstract:The objective of this paper is to assess recent developments and prospects for future changes in United States (US) climate strategy. In doing so, the paper explores some of the key factors that have shaped strategies and policies to date, distinguishing between factors related to institutional and governance structures, linkages between science and policy, energy technology and the role of interest groups. Against this background, the paper attempts to explore future development paths for US climate policy. More specifically, the paper assesses opportunities for policy changes compared to the preferences of the current administration, and the prospects for future linkages between US and international climate change strategies. In brief, the paper argues that substantial changes are unlikely to take place in the near to medium term, leaving open, however, the possibility of wide-ranging changes in domestic politics or major incidents that could facilitate a shift in the perceived need for near-term action.
Keywords:Abbreviations: API  American Petroleum Institute  BTU  British Thermal Unit  CAA  Clean Air Act  CCAP  Climate Change Action Plan  CCX  Chicago Climate Exchange  CDM  Clean Development Mechanism  CEEC  Central and Eastern European Countries  COP  Conference of the Parties  CO2  Carbon dioxide  EB  Executive Board  EIA  Energy Information Administration  EIT  Economies in transition  EPA  Environmental Protection Agency  EU  European Union  GCC  Global Climate Coalition  G-CEP  Global Climate and Energy Project  GDP  Gross Domestic Product  GHG  Greenhouse gases  IET  International Emissions Trading  IPCC  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change  JI  Joint Implementation  NGO  Nongovernmental organisation  NRE  New renewable energy  UN FCCC  United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change  UK  United Kingdom  US  United States
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