| 23周太阳活动预报方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张桂清,李小聪.23周太阳活动预报方法研究[J].紫金山天文台台刊,1999,18(2):144-146. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张桂清 李小聪 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院北京天文台!北京100012 |
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| 摘 要： | 文中评价了２３ 周以来北京天文台的短期太阳活动预报工作，Ｘ 射线耀斑的报准率为８９ ．６ ％ ，太阳质子事件的报准率为６２ ．５ ％ 。另外，还叙述了第２３ 周峰年北京天文台太阳活动预报工作的选题（ 包括研究课题和实施课题
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| 关 键 词： | 太阳 预报及方法研究 |
ON THE PREDICTION METHODS FOR SOLAR CYCLE 23 |
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| Authors: | Guiqing Zhang Xiaocong Li Guilian Zhu |
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| Abstract: | Since Aug., 1996, the short term solar activity prediction has been carried out in BAO. The corrected prediction rate was 89.6% for X ray flares and 62.5% for solar proton events. In addition, the projects for the peak years of cycle 23 (including researches and operations) at Solar Activity Prediction Center in BAO were presented. |
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| Keywords: | Sun prediation and study of prediation method |
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