| 未来气候变化科学研究的主要方向和挑战 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 孙颖,秦大河,周波涛.未来气候变化科学研究的主要方向和挑战[J].气候变化研究进展,2015,11(5):324-330. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 孙颖 秦大河 周波涛 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 2014年9月，IPCC联合世界气候研究计划（WCRP），在瑞士伯尔尼大学召开了一次特别的研讨会，总结过去几年气候变化科学研究中所取得的经验教训。此次会议针对IPCC最新评估报告中的关键不确定性，梳理并总结了未来气候变化研究的主要科学方向和面临的主要挑战，讨论了如何与WCRP计划结合并解决这些问题，以期在未来更好地应对这些挑战。在此次会议上，与会专家提出，未来气候变化科学研究的重大挑战应包括如下8个主题。云、环流与气候敏感度；理解和预测极端天气气候事件；冰冻圈变化；区域气候信息；区域海平面上升及其对沿海地区的影响；水资源可利用量；生物地球化学、气溶胶和大气化学；理解年代际变化：归因与预测。这些主题涵盖了WCRP计划的六大挑战和其他被认为具有挑战性的主题。本文将在此次会议报告的基础上，对相关内容进行介绍，以供当前的气候变化工作参考。
|
| 关 键 词： | 气候变化研究 IPCC WCRP 重大挑战 |
| 收稿时间： | 2015-05-15 |
| 修稿时间： | 2015-07-28 |
Major Directions and Grand Challenges of Future Climate Change Science |
| |
| Sun Ying,Qin Dahe,Zhou Botao.Major Directions and Grand Challenges of Future Climate Change Science[J].Advances in Climate Change,2015,11(5):324-330. |
| |
| Authors: | Sun Ying Qin Dahe Zhou Botao |
| |
| Abstract: | In September of 2014, the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), working closely with Working Group I of the IPCC, organized a meeting on the topic of Lessons Learnt for Climate Change Research with respect to the recently published IPCC AR5 on the campus of the University of Bern. This workshop was aimed at informal exchanges and brain-storming between scientists involved in climate change research coordination and those who served as authors on the IPCC AR5. Its main purpose was to take stock of key scientific issues identified through the IPCC assessment in WCRP’s research plans. During three days of intense presentations and discussions, the participants evaluated climate science, WCRP directions and plans, and future needs for research and assessments. Eight themes were presented to be included as the grand challenges of future climate change science, including clouds, circulation and climate sensitivity; understanding and predicting weather and climate extremes; changes in cryosphere; regional climate information; regional sea level rise and coastal impacts; water availability; biogeochemical, aerosols, atmospheric chemistry aspects; decadal timescale quantification: attribution and prediction. These themes cover the six grand challenges of WCRP and other challenging themes in climate science. This paper presents a brief introduction about this meeting in terms of the meeting report, so as to provide some references and information for the future climate change research. |
| |
| Keywords: | climate change research IPCC WCRP grand challenge |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《气候变化研究进展》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《气候变化研究进展》下载免费的PDF全文 |
|
