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华东地区前兆场时空演化特征的模糊识别
引用本文:郑江蓉,贺传富.华东地区前兆场时空演化特征的模糊识别[J].地震,2000,20(2):77-82.
作者姓名:郑江蓉  贺传富
作者单位:江苏省地震局分析预报中心!江苏南京210014(郑江蓉,黄耘,徐桂明,梅卫平,孙伟),南京交通高等专科学校!江苏南京210032(贺传富)
摘    要:利用模糊数学中异常从属函数方法对1990~1997年华东地区16种前兆观测方法,近5万组数据的综合前兆场进行了时空演化特征研究。结果表明,异常从属函数u对发生在华东地区的Ms≤5.0地震有较好的映震能力,可作为中期、中短期预报的综合指标,对地震三要素可作出较为准确的判定。

关 键 词:华北地区  前兆场  时空演化特征  模糊识别  地震

Fuzzy recognition of space-time evolution characteristics of precursor field in the East China
ZHENG Jiang-rong,HUANG Yun,HE Chuan-fu,XU Gui-ming,MEI Wei-pin,SUN Wei.Fuzzy recognition of space-time evolution characteristics of precursor field in the East China[J].Earthquake,2000,20(2):77-82.
Authors:ZHENG Jiang-rong  HUANG Yun  HE Chuan-fu  XU Gui-ming  MEI Wei-pin  SUN Wei
Institution:ZHENG Jiang-rong1,HUANG Yun1,HE Chuan-fu2,XU Gui-ming1,MEI Wei-pin1,SUN Wei1
Abstract:This paper studied the space-time evolution characteristics of East China with the method of improper slave function in fuzzy mathematics,which studied50 0 0 0 sets of comprehensive precursor field data observed by sixteen methods of precursory observation.Through the study,we can conclude that improper slave function shows fairly good earthquake-reflecting capacity to earthquakes with Ms 5.0 in eastern China, Which can be regarded as comprehensive parameter to the medium-term and short-term earthquake prediction and can determine three elements of an earthquake more exactly.
Keywords:Precursor field  Slave function  Eastern China region
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