| 三峡库区农业生态经济系统的预警分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 文传甲.三峡库区农业生态经济系统的预警分析[J].山地学报,1998(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 文传甲 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所!成都，610041 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金!49571067 |
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| 摘 要： | 从系统与环境相统一的角度，研究了农业生态经济系统的模型、特征、预警分析的意义和内容；以三峡库区为例，从系统序化的观点，确定了这个系统的社会、经济、环境功能和状态的主要指标的警戒线；并与这些指标的现状、过去与未来趋势值进行对比；分别对现状预警、趋势预警和突变预警进行了评价；最后作了简易的对策探讨．
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| 关 键 词： | 三峡库区 农业生态经济系统 序化 警戒线 预警分析 |
FOREWARNING ANALYSIS OF AGRICULTURAL ECOLOGICAL ECONOMIC SYSTEM FOR THREEGORGE RESERVOIR REGION |
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| Wen Chuangjia.FOREWARNING ANALYSIS OF AGRICULTURAL ECOLOGICAL ECONOMIC SYSTEM FOR THREEGORGE RESERVOIR REGION[J].Journal of Mountain Research,1998(1). |
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| Authors: | Wen Chuangjia |
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| Abstract: | From unified angle of system with environment,the model,characteristic and the meaning and content of forewarning analysis are studied for agricultural ecologic economic system. For case study, Three Gorge Rservoir Area is investigated and the warning lines of main target are determined for states and social function,economic function and environmentul function of this system. And these lines are compared with the situation and trend values of past and coming years. The situation forewarning,trend forewarning and sudden change forewarning are respectively judged.Finally countermeasure is briefly approach. |
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| Keywords: | Three Gorges Reservoir area agrecultural ecologic economic system ordering warning line forewarning analysis |
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