| 模糊马尔可夫预测法在空气质量评价中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 方红.模糊马尔可夫预测法在空气质量评价中的应用[J].辽宁气象,2008,24(1):60-62. |
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| 作者姓名： | 方红 |
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| 作者单位： | 华中农业大学理学院,湖北武汉430070 |
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| 摘 要： | 将模糊综合评价及马尔可夫链同时运用到空气质量的评价中,可克服大气环境系统所固有的模糊性及随机性。通过1994—1998年芜湖市大气环境监测数据计算表明：不仅预测结果准确,而且由于应用了模糊数学方法,使得结果较为可信,且整个过程计算简单,是一种较适合的方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 模糊综合评价 马尔可夫链模型 空气质量 |
Application of Fuzzy-Markov forecast method to atmospheric quality assessment |
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| FANG Hong.Application of Fuzzy-Markov forecast method to atmospheric quality assessment[J].Liaoning Meteorological Quarterly,2008,24(1):60-62. |
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| Authors: | FANG Hong |
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| Institution: | FANG Hong (Natural Science College of Huazhong Agricultural University,Wuhan 430070, China) |
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| Abstract: | To deal with the connatural uncertainty and randomness of atmospheric environment system, fuzzy comprehensive assessment method and Markov chain method were simultaneously applied to air quality assessment.Atmospheric environment monitoring data from 1994 to 1998 in Wuhu were employed as a case study. The exampie indicates that the forecast result is accurate. The results are more credible for the fuzzy method is used. All calculations are very simple, so it is suitable. |
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| Keywords: | Fuzzy comprehensive assessment Markov chain model Air quality |
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