| 我国短期气候监测预测业务进展 |
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| 引用本文： | 肖子牛.我国短期气候监测预测业务进展[J].气象,2010,36(7):21-25. |
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| 作者姓名： | 肖子牛 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家气候中心,北京,100081 |
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| 摘 要： | 回顾了我国短期气候监测预测业务发展技术历程,总结了业务的现状和主要进展,根据经济社会发展对气候监测预测服务的需求,分析了气候监测预测业务水平不高和业务能力不能满足服务需求的问题。提出了建立涵盖从延伸期(15到30天)、月、季、年、年际和年代际的时间尺度的无缝隙业务的发展目标和重点任务。
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| 关 键 词： | 气候 预测业务 进展 |
| 收稿时间： | 2009/11/26 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 1/5/2010 12:00:00 AM |
Advances of the Short Range Climate Monitoring and Prediction in China |
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| XIAO Ziniu.Advances of the Short Range Climate Monitoring and Prediction in China[J].Meteorological Monthly,2010,36(7):21-25. |
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| Authors: | XIAO Ziniu |
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| Institution: | National Climate Center, Beijing 10081 |
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| Abstract: | The history of the short range climate monitoring and prediction operation is reviewed in the paper. The operation feature and main advances are summarized. Based on the needs from economic and social development, the shortage of the prediction skill and operation ability to service need is analyzed. The seamless operation frame covering from the extended range (15-30 days), month, season, year, interannual to decadal timescales is presented as the aim for future operation. |
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| Keywords: | climate prediction operation advances |
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