| 全球气候变暖的影响问题辨析 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱芸,雷国良,刘秀铭,李志忠.全球气候变暖的影响问题辨析[J].福建地理,2012(1):47-54. |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱芸 雷国良 刘秀铭 李志忠 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]福建师范大学地理研究所,福州350007 [2]福建师范大学地理科学学院,福州350007 [3]湿润亚热带生态-地理过程省部共建教育部重点实验室,福州350007 [4]兰州大学西部环境教育部重点实验室,兰州730000 [5]兰州大学西部环境与气候变化研究院,兰州730000 [6]Macquarie大学环境与地理系,澳大利亚悉尼NSW2109 |
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| 基金项目： | 福建省公益类科研院所专项基金资助项目（2011R1037-7）; 福建省自然科学基金资助项目（2011J05106、2011J05107）; 国家自然科学基金资助项目（40830105、41072124、41021091） |
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| 摘 要： | 气候变暖对全球各领域及地区可能造成什么样的影响是气候变化相关研究中受关注的一个主题.本研究对全球观测数据和大量过去气候变化研究成果进行分析,针对几个关键问题就全球变暖对人类及其他物种造成不良后果的观点进行了辨析,包括气候模型可能存在的缺陷,冰川、海冰和海平面以及降雨量和水资源变化的不确定性,极端天气事件增强的可能性以及生物的适应能力,指出不宜简单地将所有灾害事件都直接归因于全球变暖,应该在全面科学评估的基础上趋利避害,从而达到更持续发展.
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| 关 键 词： | 气候变化 全球变暖的影响 NIPCC 不确定性 |
Analysis on the Impacts of Global Warming |
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| ZHU Yun,LEI Guo-liang,LIU Xiu-ming,LI Zhi-zhong.Analysis on the Impacts of Global Warming[J].Fujian Geography,2012(1):47-54. |
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| Authors: | ZHU Yun LEI Guo-liang LIU Xiu-ming LI Zhi-zhong |
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| Institution: | 1.Fujian Normal University a.Institute of Geography,b.School of Geographical Sciences,Fuzhou 350007,China; 2.Key Laboratory of Humid Subtropical Eco-geographical Process,Ministry of Education,Fuzhou 350007,China; 3.a.Key Laboratory of West China′s Environmental Systems(Ministry of Education),b.Research School of Arid Environment ＆ Climate Change,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China; 4.Department of Environment and Geography,Macquarie University,Sydney NSW 2109,Australia) |
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| Abstract: | One attractive subject of climate change is that what effects have been caused by its warming on areas and regions around the world.By analyzing observational data and a large number of past related researches,we analyze several key issues of the view that the global warming may have adverse consequences on humans and other species,including the defects of climate models,the uncertainty of glaciers,sea ice and sea level changes,the uncertainty of precipitation and water resource changes,the possibility of increasing extreme weather events and biological adaptation.It is argued that we should not simply attribute all climatic disasters to the global warming,and more comprehensive scientific assessments and researches are needed to achieve sustainable development. |
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| Keywords: | climate change impacts of global warming NIPCC uncertainty |
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