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| 气候波动和土地覆盖变化下的黄河源区水资源预测 | |
| 引用本文： | 车骞,王根绪,孔福广,陈玲,姜秀娜.气候波动和土地覆盖变化下的黄河源区水资源预测[J].水文,2007,27(2):11-15. |
| 作者姓名： | 车骞 王根绪 孔福广 陈玲 姜秀娜 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 兰州大学资源环境学院,甘肃,兰州,730000;黄河水利委员会上游水文水资源局,甘肃,兰州,730030 2. 兰州大学资源环境学院,甘肃,兰州,730000;中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所,甘肃,兰州,730000 3. 黄河水利委员会上游水文水资源局,甘肃,兰州,730030 4. 兰州大学资源环境学院,甘肃,兰州,730000 |
| 摘 要： | 以黄河源区为研究对象,以分布式水文模型SWAT为研究工具,建立不同气候波动和土地覆盖变化情景,模拟和预测未来水资源的变化。针对黄河源区特殊的下垫面条件,着重冰雪和冻土的水文过程调试,对模拟结果的评价显示,SWAT模型能够较好地模拟黄河源区的水资源变化。不同情景下演算得出的水资源量数据可信,具有一定的实用意义,随着认识的深入和模型结构以及参数的优化,模型在寒区水资源研究和管理中会发挥更大作用。 |
| 关 键 词： | 气候波动 土地覆盖 黄河源区水资源 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-0852（2007）02-0011-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-12-13 |
Runoff Estimation Under Climate and Land Cover Change in Yellow River Source Region |
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| CHE Qian,WANG Gen-xu,KONG Fu-guang,CHEN Ling,JIANG Xiu-na.Runoff Estimation Under Climate and Land Cover Change in Yellow River Source Region[J].Hydrology,2007,27(2):11-15. | |
| Authors: | CHE Qian WANG Gen-xu KONG Fu-guang CHEN Ling JIANG Xiu-na |
| Institution: | 1. School of Resources and Environment, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China; 2. Bureau of Upper Reach Hydrology and Water Resource, YRCC, Lanzhou 730030, China; 3, Cold and Arid Region Environment and Engineering Research Institute, China Academy of Science, Lanzhou 730000, China |
| Abstract: | Taking Yellow River Source Region as a study area, this paper simulated and estimated the runoff processes under the different climate and land cover change scenarios using distributed hydrnlogical model--SWAT. Owing to the particular convergence condition in YRSR, the model calibration intensified the parameters on snowmeh and soil temperature. The evaluation of the resuits showed that SWAT simulated the hydrological process comparatively well. The runoff estimting results under different scenarios are believable and useful in practice to some extent and SWAT will play a more important role in the cold region water resources research and management with more edfining the structure and parameters of the model. |
| Keywords: | SWAT |
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