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地震短期、短临预测面临的"最后一分钟"
引用本文:牛安福.地震短期、短临预测面临的"最后一分钟"[J].国际地震动态,2005(2):29-31.
作者姓名:牛安福
作者单位:中国地震局地震预测研究所,北京,100036;中国地震台网中心,北京,100036
摘    要:本文分析了地震预测面临的“最后一分钟”问题,阐述了前兆方法预报地震呼唤新思路的重要性及地震预测的可探索性。

关 键 词:地震预测  短期  短临  前兆  最后一分钟

The last minute to predict earthquake
Niu Anfu.The last minute to predict earthquake[J].Recent Developments in World Seismology,2005(2):29-31.
Authors:Niu Anfu
Institution:Niu Anfu~1),2) 1) Institute of Earthquake Prediction,CEA,Beijing,100036,China 2) China Earthquake Network Center,Beijing,100036,China
Abstract:This paper analyzed some difficulties in earthquake prediction researches and in practice, that concerned with the scientific and experiential method problems. It is also demonstrated the importance to propose new thoughts or to use some new theories for earthquake prediction, and there is a possibility to seek earthquake preparation or to make a prediction.
Keywords:earthquake prediction  short-term  imminent  precursor  last minute  
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