Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland |
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| Authors: | Zbigniew W Kundzewicz Miko?aj Piniewski Abdelkader Mezghani Tomasz Okruszko Iwona Pińskwar Ignacy Kardel Øystein Hov Mateusz Szcze?niak Ma?gorzata Szwed Rasmus E Benestad Pawe? Marcinkowski Dariusz Graczyk Andreas Dobler Eirik J Førland Joanna O’Keefe Adam Choryński Kajsa M Parding Jan Erik Haugen |
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| Institution: | 1.Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment of the Polish Academy of Sciences,Poznan,Poland;2.Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met Norway),Oslo,Norway;3.Warsaw University of Life Sciences (SGGW),Warsaw,Poland;4.Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK),Potsdam,Germany |
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| Abstract: | The present paper offers a brief assessment of climate change and associated impact in Poland, based on selected results of the Polish–Norwegian CHASE-PL project. Impacts are examined in selected sectors, such as water resources, natural hazard risk reduction, environment, agriculture and health. Results of change detection in long time series of observed climate and climate impact variables in Poland are presented. Also, projections of climate variability and change are provided for time horizons of 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 for two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in comparison with control period, 1971–2000. Based on climate projections, examination of future impacts on sectors is also carried out. Selected uncertainty issues relevant to observations, understanding and projections are tackled as well. |
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