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1991年江淮暴雨与越赤道气流关系初步分析
引用本文:李曾中,钱传海,孙除荣.1991年江淮暴雨与越赤道气流关系初步分析[J].气象学报,2000,58(5):628-636.
作者姓名:李曾中  钱传海  孙除荣
作者单位:1. 中国气象科学研究院,北京,100081
2. 国家气象中心,北京,100081
3. 国家气候中心,北京,100001
基金项目:“我国短期气候预测系统的研究”!(子专题编号 :96-90 8-0 4 -0 4 -3)
摘    要:1991年夏季 ,中国江淮地区发生了大范围的特大暴雨及洪涝灾害 ,造成人民生命财产的巨大损失。文中利用 ECMWF(欧洲中期天气预报中心 )等格点资料及其它常规资料 ,对此次暴雨成因进行了分析。研究结果指出 :1 991年 5~ 7月越赤道气流的特别强劲以及越赤道气流通道位置的异常 ,是造成此次特大暴雨的主要原因之一。同时 ,5月底及 6月初南半球中、高纬度冷空气较早的爆发 ,可能是 1 991年越赤道气流异常的先兆“信号”。

关 键 词:特大暴雨  越赤道气流  暴雨监测预报
收稿时间:1998/1/27 0:00:00
修稿时间:1999/12/19 0:00:00

A PRILIMINARY ANALYSIS ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW AND THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER YANGTZE AND HUAIHE RIVER IN 1991
Li Zengzhong,Qian Chaunhai and Sun Churong.A PRILIMINARY ANALYSIS ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW AND THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER YANGTZE AND HUAIHE RIVER IN 1991[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,2000,58(5):628-636.
Authors:Li Zengzhong  Qian Chaunhai and Sun Churong
Institution:Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, 100081;National Meteorological Center, Beijing, 100081;National Climate Center, Beijing, 100081
Abstract:In summer of 1991 heavy rainfall and flood took place over the wide regions of China and made much loss of life and property. The analysis on the cause of this storm rainfall was made with the ECMWF grid wind and other routine data. The results point out that the anomalous strength and the channel's change of the cross-equatorial flow(CEF) during May to July 1991 are one of the main reasons producing this heavy rainfall.At the sametime,the earlier outbreak of cold air over the middle-high latitude of the Southern Hemisphere may be a:signal of the 1991's abnormal CEF.
Keywords:Heavy rain  Cross-equatorial flow  Heavy rain monitoring and forecasting  
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