| 云南省地震与太阳活动的统计关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张兆鑫,杜升云.云南省地震与太阳活动的统计关系研究[J].云南地理环境研究,2008,20(4):27-32. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张兆鑫 杜升云 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院研究生院科技史与科技考古系,北京,100049
2. 北京师范大学天文系,北京,100875 |
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| 摘 要： | 地震与太阳活动的关系是研究活动性和地震预测中有意义的课题。作者选取云南省及周边地区1965～2006年2级以上地震为样本，使用时间序列分析方法和相关分析方法对地震与太阳黑子、耀斑的相关性进行了研究，得到中小地震为主的样本与太阳活动不相关、大地震与太阳活动存在弱相关性的结论。作者的结论与以往研究者的结论不同，原因在于以往的研究者使用大震强震为样本，样本数少，得到的结论存在不可避免的偶然性。因此在一个地方具备发生大地震的内在条件时，关注太阳活动也是十分必要的。
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| 关 键 词： | 太阳活动 黑子 耀斑 地震 |
STUDY ON THE STATISTICAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SOLAR ACTIVITIES AND EARTHQUAKE IN YUNNAN PROVINCE |
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| Institution: | ZHANG Zhao-xin, DU Sheng-yun ( 1. Department of Scientific History and Archaeometry; Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences; Beijing 100049; China; 2. Department of Astronomy; Beijing Normal University; Beijing 100875; China) |
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| Abstract: | The relationship between earthquake and solar activities was an important question for discussion. The author of this paper analyzed the relativity between sunspot and solar flare and earthquake, and concluded that the statistical relationship between solar activities and small earthquakes in that area didn＇t exist, strong earthquakes had puny relativity with solar activities. The sample for analyzing was from Yunnan Province, and the sample was consisted mainly by small earthquakes. The conclusion was different with past researches which used the sample only consisted by strong earthquakes. The puny relativity between strong earthquake and solar activity was a kind of chanciness, and this kind of chanciness could not be ignored. |
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| Keywords: | solar activity sunspot solar flare earthquake |
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