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| 中国旅游业发展与航空运输业关联分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 何调霞,黄成林,梁双波.中国旅游业发展与航空运输业关联分析[J].热带地理,2007,27(4):332-336. |
| 作者姓名： | 何调霞 黄成林 梁双波 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 无锡商业职业技术学院,旅游系,江苏,无锡,214153 2. 安徽师范大学,国土资源与旅游学院,安徽,芜湖,241000 3. 中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所,南京,210008;中国科学院研究生院,南京,210008 |
| 摘 要： | 运用灰色关联分析法,构建了中国旅游业与航空运输业关联度模型,定量分析了中国旅游业与航空运输业关联发展的演变规律及其作用机制。研究表明:14年来中国旅游业与航空运输业关联发展总体上趋于协调和强化,但其时序变动具有明显的波动性和阶段性;中国旅游业与航空运输业的关联作用机制比较复杂,一方面,旅游业与航空运输业相互促进,另一方面,旅游业与航空运输业的关联受外部因素影响较大。 |
| 关 键 词： | 旅游业 航空运输业 灰色关联分析 均值关联度 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-5221（2007）04-0332-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-09-122007-01-10 |
The Change of the Correlation between Tourism Development and Civil Aviation Transportation in China |
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| HE diao-xia,HUANG Cheng-lin,LIANG Shuang-bo.The Change of the Correlation between Tourism Development and Civil Aviation Transportation in China[J].Tropical Geography,2007,27(4):332-336. | |
| Authors: | HE diao-xia HUANG Cheng-lin LIANG Shuang-bo |
| Institution: | 1. Department of Tourism, Wuxi Institute of Commerce, Wuxi 214153, China ; 2. College of Land Resources and Tourism, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241000, China;3 Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, CAS, Nanjing 210008, China; 4 Graduate School of CAS, Beijing 100039, China |
| Abstract: | It has both theoretical and practical significance to study the change of the correlation between tourism development and civil aviation transportation.With the change of development environment,such as globalization,their relationship has become more complicated and subtle than that ever before.Grey correlative analysis is applied to measure the effect of correlation between tourism and aviation transportation.A practical formula of mean associative degree(MAD) is designed to forecast the dynamic trend and correlative degree.By calculating and analyzing the concerned data from 1990 to 2003,it could clearly be found that their MAD in 1990 was 0.686 79 and with a tendency to rise,showing that the correlative degree was high;the MAD reached its maximum in 1998 which was 0.826 86;but next an evident drop took place.According to the results,two obvious features could be seen:(1) the MAD between tourism development and aviation transportation tended to intensify on the whole;(2) the characteristics of fluctuation and phases are obvious CAD for the change tendencies.By constructing the interactional frame and combining the data analysis,the interactional mechanism between tourism and civil aviation is discussed,the results show that: on one hand,both industries are mutually promoted;on the other,their correlative degree is greatly impacted by external factors,such as the improvement of transportation infrastructure,the safety,and so on. |
| Keywords: | Tourism Civil aviation transportation Grey correlation analysis MAD |
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