| 数值预报产品在台风路径预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 季晓阳.数值预报产品在台风路径预报中的应用[J].海洋预报,1996,13(1):16-22. |
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| 作者姓名： | 季晓阳 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家海洋环境预报中心 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用欧洲中期天气预报中心和国家海洋环境预报中心的数值预报产品，形成包括理想台风模型的模式初值，用正压原始方程做台风路径预报，经过１９９４年的６个台风的实时预报试验，效果较好。
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| 关 键 词： | 数值预报产品 台风 路径预报 |
TYPHOON TRACK PREDICTION BY USING NUMERICAL FORECASTING PRODUCTS |
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| Ji Xiaoyang.TYPHOON TRACK PREDICTION BY USING NUMERICAL FORECASTING PRODUCTS[J].Marine Forecasts,1996,13(1):16-22. |
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| Authors: | Ji Xiaoyang |
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| Institution: | National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center |
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| Abstract: | An idealized typhoon vortex is constructed and superposed upon the objective analysis and forecasting fields come from ECMWF and National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center (NMEFC). The initial values for typhoon forecasts are obtained through this composite analysis scheme. Real-time forecasts for 6 cases in 1994 were carried out by a barotropic model with the usage of numerical forecasting products from ECMWF and NMEFC. It is shown from Verificatinn that the forecasting results are satisfactory. |
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| Keywords: | Numerical forecasting products Typhoon track prediction |
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